Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002814 0.002940 0.003069 0.003209 0.003359 0.003514 0.003686
2025-02-16 0.002574 0.002764 0.002966 0.003195 0.003449 0.003722 0.004041
2025-02-23 0.002412 0.002639 0.002884 0.003170 0.003498 0.003861 0.004299
2025-03-02 0.002323 0.002580 0.002863 0.003202 0.003598 0.004050 0.004610
2025-03-09 0.002224 0.002500 0.002811 0.003188 0.003639 0.004165 0.004831
2025-03-16 0.002135 0.002426 0.002757 0.003166 0.003664 0.004257 0.005024
2025-03-23 0.002044 0.002343 0.002689 0.003122 0.003657 0.004304 0.005161
2025-03-30 0.001966 0.002272 0.002629 0.003083 0.003652 0.004352 0.005295
2025-04-06 0.001916 0.002231 0.002605 0.003085 0.003696 0.004460 0.005509
2025-04-13 0.001821 0.002134 0.002507 0.002991 0.003613 0.004401 0.005498
2025-04-20 0.001782 0.002103 0.002489 0.002996 0.003656 0.004504 0.005705
2025-04-27 0.001764 0.002096 0.002501 0.003038 0.003747 0.004673 0.006010
2025-05-04 0.001709 0.002043 0.002452 0.003001 0.003735 0.004704 0.006125
2025-05-11 0.001668 0.002005 0.002423 0.002989 0.003753 0.004777 0.006304
2025-05-18 0.001625 0.001964 0.002388 0.002967 0.003757 0.004830 0.006453
2025-05-25 0.001606 0.001954 0.002391 0.002996 0.003831 0.004981 0.006753
2025-06-01 0.001572 0.001921 0.002365 0.002983 0.003846 0.005049 0.006931
2025-06-08 0.001536 0.001887 0.002334 0.002963 0.003850 0.005100 0.007084
2025-06-15 0.001494 0.001842 0.002290 0.002923 0.003822 0.005103 0.007163
2025-06-22 0.001456 0.001802 0.002250 0.002887 0.003801 0.005115 0.007254
2025-06-29 0.001434 0.001783 0.002237 0.002889 0.003833 0.005205 0.007474
2025-07-06 0.001379 0.001720 0.002163 0.002803 0.003733 0.005095 0.007363
2025-07-13 0.001361 0.001704 0.002154 0.002807 0.003767 0.005187 0.007587